Adrian Mannarino vs Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When observing recent second serve performance, Mannarino maintains a slight edge by winning 45.35% of points compared to Aguilar's 44.35%. Does this give Mannarino a distinct advantage? It seems so.
• In return game statistics, Mannarino has a slight edge as well, winning 46.72% of points on the opponent's second serve while Aguilar captures 45.51%.
• However, when considering first serve returns, Aguilar outshines Mannarino with 30.8% versus Mannarino's 25.97%, suggesting Aguilar might be slightly favored in this aspect.
• Under pressure, Aguilar is slightly more resilient, saving 50.74% of breakpoints compared to Mannarino's 50.15%.
• Looking at the past year, Aguilar has a stronger performance record, achieving a win rate of 64.18% compared to Mannarino’s 42.25%.
• Surface preferences show Mannarino excels on Grass with a win percentage of 61%, while Aguilar performs best on Clay with a 60% win rate. Will the surface play a crucial role? It often does.
• Regarding the level of tournaments, Mannarino competed mostly on the Main tour with a lower win rate of 34.62%, whereas Aguilar sees more success in lower-tier events, winning 72.73%.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Mannarino has faced slightly lower-ranked players with an average rank of 164.89, contrasting with Aguilar’s average opponent rank of 87.91.
• If the match heads to a deciding set, Aguilar appears more successful, having won 65% of these compared to Mannarino’s 38%.
• Break point conversion is critical, and Aguilar demonstrates strength here, converting 39.29% of opportunities, whereas Mannarino manages 25.6%.

Editorial Prediction (July 26, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the potential outcome of the upcoming match, several factors stand out. Aguilar demonstrates a slight advantage in break point conversion and first serve return points, which are critical in determining match dynamics. This aspect might tilt the scales in Aguilar's favor, offering better odds during breaks in the match.

While Mannarino has performed better on Grass surfaces and has a marginal edge in recent second serve performance, Aguilar's overall match win percentage in the last year and his success in converting breakpoints suggest a stronger overall match preparedness.

Given the advantages in performance statistics and consistency displayed by Aguilar throughout recent matches, it is likely that Aguilar will emerge as the probable winner in this competition.